Health Effects of Vitamin D supplementation: Lessons Learned from Randomized Controlled Trials and Mendelian Randomization Studies
Bouillon R, et al • J Bone Miner Res
Key Finding
Cancer mortality: daily dosing RR 0.88 (95% CI 0.78-0.98, 10 trials); bolus RR 1.07 (ineffective); VITAL: normal BMI cancer OR 0.76; shift focus to deficient individuals
Key Findings
- 1Cancer mortality: daily dosing RR 0.88 (12% reduction); bolus ineffective
- 2Normal BMI subgroup: cancer incidence OR 0.76 (VITAL)
- 32014 Cochrane all-cause mortality: RR 0.94 (modest benefit)
- 4Benefits mainly in vitamin D-deficient individuals - shift from universal to targeted supplementation
Original title: “Health Effects of Vitamin D supplementation: Lessons Learned from Randomized Controlled Trials and Mendelian Randomization Studies”
Plain English Summary
Review of large RCTs and MR studies on vitamin D. Daily dosing reduced cancer mortality 12% (RR 0.88); bolus dosing ineffective. Benefits mainly in deficient individuals.
In-Depth Analysis
Study Details
Authors: Roger Bouillon, Meryl S LeBoff, Rachel E Neale
Institutions: KU Leuven, Harvard/Brigham & Women's, QIMR Berghofer
Journal: J Bone Miner Res, 2023 Oct; 38(10):1391-1403
PMCID: PMC10592274
Key Statistics (from original paper)
Cancer Incidence
- •VITAL and ViDA: No overall reduction
- •VITAL (normal BMI <25): OR 0.76 (95% CI 0.63-0.90)
Cancer Mortality
Meta-analysis (14 RCTs, 104,727 participants, 2,015 deaths):
- •Overall: Non-significant 6% reduction
- •Daily dosing (10 trials): RR 0.88 (95% CI 0.78-0.98) ✓
- •Bolus dosing (4 trials): RR 1.07 (95% CI 0.91-1.24) ✗
VITAL (excluding first 2 years):
- •Cancer mortality: OR 0.75 (95% CI 0.59-0.96) ✓
All-Cause Mortality
- •2014 Cochrane (~75,000 participants): RR 0.94 (95% CI 0.91-0.98)
- •Recent large RCTs (vitamin D-replete adults): No effect
Key Population Note
- •Mean baseline 25(OH)D: 22-30.7 ng/mL across major trials
- •Results don't apply to deficient or institutionalized populations
Principal Conclusion
Shift focus from universal supplementation to targeted approaches in vitamin D-deficient individuals.
Source: PMC full text (PMC10592274)
Paradigm Relevance
How this study applies to different clinical perspectives:
Standard Medical
RelevantConventional clinical guidelines used by most doctors
Why it matters:
Key evidence that widespread supplementation of replete populations is not beneficial; supports targeted testing and treatment
Research Consensus
RelevantCurrent scientific understanding, often ahead of guidelines
Why it matters:
Clarifies which outcomes have causal support (cancer mortality, autoimmune) vs. confounded associations (CVD, fractures in replete)
Metabolic Optimization
RelevantProactive targets for optimal health, not just disease absence
Why it matters:
Important nuance: benefits exist but are concentrated in deficiency; daily dosing superior to bolus; "more is better" not supported
Study Details
- Type
- Systematic Review
- Methodology
- Narrative review of large RCTs (VITAL, ViDA) and meta-analyses. Focus on vitamin D-replete populations. Includes Mendelian randomization findings.
Evidence Quality
Review from PMC10592274. KU Leuven, Harvard, QIMR Berghofer authors.
Related Biomarkers
Calculate & Evaluate on Metabolicum
Original Source
DOI (Digital Object Identifier) is a permanent link to this publication. Unlike website URLs that can change, a DOI always resolves to the correct source.
Related Studies
Vitamin D supplementation and total cancer incidence and mortality: a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials
Keum N, et al • Annals of Oncology • 2019
Cancer mortality: 13% reduction (RR 0.87, 95% CI 0.79-0.96, p=0.005); Cancer incidence: no effect (RR 0.98, 95% CI 0.93-1.03, p=0.42)
International Vitamin D Supplementation Guidelines
Pludowski P, et al • Journal of Steroid Biochemistry and Molecular Biology • 2018
Target 25(OH)D levels of 30-50 ng/mL (75-125 nmol/L) recommended for general health; higher targets (40-60 ng/mL) for specific conditions.
Vitamin D supplementation to prevent acute respiratory tract infections: systematic review and meta-analysis of individual participant data
Martineau AR, et al • BMJ • 2017
Overall ARTI reduction OR 0.88 (95% CI 0.81-0.96); daily/weekly dosing OR 0.81; profound deficiency (<25 nmol/L) + daily dosing OR 0.30 (NNT 4)