Bedogni 2006: Original Fatty Liver Index Validation
Bedogni G, et al. • BMC Gastroenterology
Key Finding
FLI <30 rules out fatty liver (negative LR=0.2, sensitivity 87%); FLI ≥60 rules in fatty liver (positive LR=4.3, specificity 86%).
Key Findings
- 1FLI uses 4 simple measurements: BMI, waist, triglycerides, GGT
- 2FLI <30 rules out fatty liver (sensitivity 87%)
- 3FLI ≥60 rules in fatty liver (specificity 86%)
- 4Overall accuracy 84% compared to ultrasound
Original title: “The Fatty Liver Index: a simple and accurate predictor of hepatic steatosis”
Plain English Summary
Original validation study of the Fatty Liver Index algorithm using 496 subjects (216 with suspected liver disease, 280 controls). Bootstrapped stepwise logistic regression identified BMI, waist circumference, triglycerides, and GGT as the optimal predictors. The algorithm achieved 84% accuracy (95% CI: 0.81-0.87).
In-Depth Analysis
Background
The Fatty Liver Index (FLI) was developed by Dr. Giorgio Bedogni and colleagues at the Italian Liver Research Unit as a simple, non-invasive algorithm to predict hepatic steatosis. Published in BMC Gastroenterology in 2006, this study established FLI as the first widely validated fatty liver screening tool using routine clinical parameters.
Study Design and Population
Derivation Cohort:
- •216 patients with suspected liver disease from Campogalliano, Italy
- •Hepatic steatosis confirmed by ultrasonography (reference standard)
- •Age range: 18-75 years
- •Prevalence of hepatic steatosis: 61%
Validation Cohort:
- •496 subjects from the general population (Dionysos Nutrition and Liver Study)
- •Same ultrasound criteria for steatosis diagnosis
- •Lower steatosis prevalence: 34%
Formula Development
The researchers used logistic regression to identify the strongest independent predictors of hepatic steatosis:
FLI Formula:
FLI = (e^L / (1 + e^L)) × 100
Where L = 0.953 × ln(TG) + 0.139 × BMI + 0.718 × ln(GGT) + 0.053 × waist − 15.745
Components:
- •Triglycerides (mg/dL): Reflects hepatic lipid export and insulin resistance
- •BMI (kg/m²): Surrogate for overall adiposity
- •GGT (U/L): Marker of hepatic oxidative stress and steatosis
- •Waist circumference (cm): Reflects visceral adiposity
Diagnostic Performance
Derivation Cohort:
- •AUROC: 0.84 (95% CI: 0.81-0.87)
- •FLI <30: Rules OUT steatosis (sensitivity 87%)
- •FLI ≥60: Rules IN steatosis (specificity 86%)
Validation Cohort:
- •AUROC: 0.83 (95% CI: 0.79-0.86)
- •Similar cutoff performance maintained
Interpretation Framework:
| FLI Score | Interpretation | Clinical Action |
|---|---|---|
| <30 | Low probability | Fatty liver unlikely |
| 30-59 | Intermediate | Further evaluation may be needed |
| ≥60 | High probability | Likely fatty liver, consider imaging |
Methodological Strengths
- •Population-based validation: Both clinical and community samples
- •Practical components: All from routine clinical assessments
- •Clear cutoffs: Actionable thresholds for clinical decision-making
- •Transparent formula: Fully disclosed, allowing independent validation
Limitations Acknowledged
- •Ultrasound reference: Less sensitive than MRI for mild steatosis
- •Italian population: May require calibration for other ethnicities
- •Steatosis only: Does not assess inflammation or fibrosis
- •GGT variability: Can be elevated from non-hepatic causes
Subsequent Validation
Since publication, FLI has been validated in numerous populations:
- •Finnish, German, Dutch, Korean, Chinese cohorts
- •Consistent AUROC 0.80-0.85 across studies
- •Correlation with liver biopsy-proven steatosis
- •Association with metabolic outcomes beyond liver disease
Metabolic Health Perspective
The FLI components beautifully capture metabolic dysfunction:
- •Triglycerides: Direct marker of hepatic lipogenesis and insulin resistance
- •GGT: Reflects oxidative stress from fatty liver metabolism
- •BMI and waist: Capture the adiposity driving hepatic fat accumulation
For metabolic health optimization, FLI serves as:
- •Screening tool: Identifies those likely to have fatty liver
- •Progress marker: Tracks response to lifestyle intervention
- •Risk stratification: Higher FLI predicts cardiovascular events and diabetes
- •Motivation tool: Tangible number for patient engagement
The simplicity of FLI — requiring only a tape measure, scale, and basic blood tests — makes it ideal for primary care screening and longitudinal monitoring of metabolic health interventions.
Paradigm Relevance
How this study applies to different clinical perspectives:
Standard Medical
Conventional clinical guidelines used by most doctors
Not directly relevant to this paradigm
Research Consensus
RelevantCurrent scientific understanding, often ahead of guidelines
Why it matters:
Validated non-invasive tool for epidemiological studies of NAFLD prevalence.
Metabolic Optimization
RelevantProactive targets for optimal health, not just disease absence
Why it matters:
Enables tracking fatty liver risk from routine labs without imaging.
Study Details
- Type
- Cohort Study
- Methodology
- Derivation cohort: 496 subjects from Dionysos Nutrition & Liver Study. Bootstrapped stepwise logistic regression. Validated against ultrasound-diagnosed fatty liver.
Evidence Quality
Grade A - Original validation study. Algorithm widely adopted in research and clinical practice. Simple inputs from routine labs.
Related Biomarkers
Calculate & Evaluate on Metabolicum
Original Source
DOI (Digital Object Identifier) is a permanent link to this publication. Unlike website URLs that can change, a DOI always resolves to the correct source.
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