Cui 2001: Non-HDL-C Predicts CVD Mortality Better Than LDL-C
Cui Y, et al. • Archives of Internal Medicine • 2001
A 30 mg/dL increase in non-HDL-C corresponded to 19% increased CVD risk in men (vs 15% for LDL-C) and 11% in women (vs 8% for LDL-C).
The research behind Metabolicum's evidence-based approach
Not all research is equal. We assign confidence grades to each source based on study design, sample size, replication status, and methodology. This helps you understand how confident you can be in each finding.
High Confidence
Replicated findings across multiple well-designed studies
Good Confidence
Well-designed single studies with strong methodology
Moderate Confidence
Observational data with consistent patterns
Emerging Evidence
Mechanistic or theoretical - interpret cautiously
Clinical Consensus
Practitioner experience without formal trials
Why are we so careful about evidence grading? Because a significant portion of published research fails to replicate.
| Study | Finding | Grade |
|---|---|---|
| Begley & Ellis, 2012 | Only 21% of landmark cancer studies could be replicated | A |
| Open Science Collaboration, 2015 | Only 36% of psychology studies replicated | A |
| Ioannidis, 2005 | Theoretical framework explaining why most findings are false | A |
This doesn't mean you should distrust all research. It means:
We grade evidence honestly so you can calibrate your confidence appropriately.
In-depth analysis of foundational studies with translated summaries
Showing 5 studies
Cui Y, et al. • Archives of Internal Medicine • 2001
A 30 mg/dL increase in non-HDL-C corresponded to 19% increased CVD risk in men (vs 15% for LDL-C) and 11% in women (vs 8% for LDL-C).
NCEP ATP III • Circulation • 2002
Non-HDL-C target is set 30 mg/dL higher than LDL-C target. For high-risk patients: LDL-C <100 mg/dL corresponds to non-HDL-C <130 mg/dL.
Sniderman AD, et al. • Lancet • 2003
ApoB and non-HDL-C provide superior cardiovascular risk prediction compared to LDL-C, particularly when triglycerides are elevated and LDL particles are small and dense.
Liu J, et al. • Atherosclerosis • 2006
Non-HDL-C levels strongly correlated with metabolic syndrome components and provided better risk stratification than LDL-C in patients with elevated triglycerides.
Grundy SM, et al. • Journal of the American College of Cardiology • 2019
Non-HDL-C is recommended as a secondary treatment target after LDL-C goals are achieved. For very high-risk patients, consider non-HDL-C <100 mg/dL.
Primary thresholds come from Grade A sources. When Grade A evidence suggests a range rather than a single value, we present the range with context.
We draw on Grades A-C for educational claims, clearly labeling evidence quality. Grade D and E content is marked as theoretical or practitioner-derived.
This bibliography contains the research supporting Metabolicum's evidence-based approach.
Last comprehensive review: December 2025